A New Reality

Notes from A New Reality

The observations and vision of A New Reality rest upon extensive research and data.  Author Jonathan Salk and contributor David Dewane have revised and updated the data for this edition. Links to sources are provided below.

World population size: Population size in 2100 from United Nations (2015). Probabilistic Population Projection based on World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Population Division, DESA. Stabilization at plateau and future projection assumes fertility rates in all nations return to and remain at replacement levels.

PART ONE

John McHale, The Future of the Future (New York: Braziller, 1969), Data 1970–2015 from United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, custom data acquired via website.

Raymond Pearl, The Biology of Population Growth (New York: Knopf, 1925), (Copyright 1925 by Alfred A. Knopf, Inc. and renewed 1953 by Maude de Witt Pearl.)
https://www.jstor.org/stable/2765749?seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents

Oscar W. Richards, “Potentially Unlimited Multiplication of Yeast with Constant Environment and Limiting of Growth by Changing Environment,” Journal of General Physiology 1 (1928):  https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/79eb/8eee58254a50303ba1e430e66281eee97d1a.pdf

J. Davidson, “On the Growth of the Sheep Population in Tasmania,” Transactions of the Royal Society of South Australia 62, no. 2 (December 23, 1938)   https://linctas.ent.sirsidynix.net.au/client/en_AU/library/search/detailnonmodal/ent:$002f$002fSD_ILS$002f0$002fSD_ILS:804597/one

PART TWO

Jean van der Tak, Carl Haub, and Elaine Murphy, “Our Population Predicament: A New Look,” Population Bulletin 34, no. 5 (December 1979)
http://www.jstor.org/stable/2735646?seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents

United Nations Fund for Population Activities, 7 Billion Actions: The World at 7 Billion.
https://www.unfpa.org/world-7-billion

 United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision.

United Nations (2015). Probabilistic Population Projection based on World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Population Division, DESA.

 Data before 1950: Population Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, “The World at Six Billion,” 12 October 1999. Accessed at www.un.org/esa/population/publications/sixbillion/sixbilpart1.pdf.

Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision.   https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/publications/files/key_findings_wpp_2015.pdf

United Nations (2015). Probabilistic population projection based on World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Population Division, DESA.

 United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision. http://esa.un.org/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/TOT/

Carl Haub and James Gribble, “The World at 7 Billion,” Population Bulletin 66, no. 2 (July 2011):
https://assets.prb.org/pdf11/world-at-7-billion.pdf

 United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, custom data acquired via website.

Life expectancy at birth: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, custom data acquired via website.

Secondary school enrollment: World Bank. World DataBank: World
Development Indicators. Series: Gross enrollment ratio, secondary, both sexes (%). Custom data acquired via website.

Female literacy rates: World Bank. World DataBank: World Development indicators. Series: Youth literacy rate, population 15–24 years, female (%). Custom data acquired by website.

 Pages 82–83: Data for Uganda, Guatemala, India, and Germany from United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision. Custom data acquired by website.

 Schuyler Null/Wilson Center, New Security Beat: The Blog of the Environmental Change and Security Program, April 18, 2011.
https://www.newsecuritybeat.org/2011/04/un-releases-early-results-of-global-population-projections/

 Carl Haub, “In 2011, World Population Surpasses 7 Billion,” Population Reference Bureau, October 2011.
https://www.prb.org/world-population-7billion/

Data 1950–2100 from United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, custom data acquired via website.

PART THREE

Page 124: For a full discussion of the relationship between balanced wealth and human well-being, see Richard Wilkinson and Kate Pickett, The Spirit Level: Why Greater Equality Makes Societies Stronger (New York: Bloomsbury Press, 2009).  https://www.equalitytrust.org.uk/resources/the-spirit-level

PART FIVE

 United Nations Interagency Group for Child Mortality. Estimation,
Levels and Trends in Child Mortality—Report 2015.  
http://www.who.int/maternal_child_adolescent/documents/levels_trends_child_mortality_2015/en/

World Bank, October 4, 2015. World Bank Forecasts Global Poverty to Fall Below 10% for First Time.
http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2015/10/04/world-bank-forecasts-global-poverty-to-fall-below-10-for-first-time-major-hurdles-remain-in-goal-to-end-poverty-by-2030

World Bank, Overview. Updated April 13, 2016. 
http://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/poverty/overview

World Bank, Graph: Poverty headcount ratio at $1.90 a day, 2011.
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.DDAY

Jared Diamond’s The World until Yesterday: What Can We Learn from Traditional Societies? (New York: Viking, 2012).
http://www.jareddiamond.org/Jared_Diamond/The_World_Until_Yesterday.html